Month: December 2024

Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, faces a crucial moment as the central bank prepares for its next policy meeting. The latest jobs report all but solidified expectations of an interest rate cut later this month, with market indicators assigning a nearly 90% chance to such a move. However, whether the Fed should proceed with the cut and how it will manage monetary policy afterward remain open questions, sparking heated debate among economists and politicians. November's jobs data presented a balanced picture, neither overly strong nor overly weak, giving the Fed the flexibility to justify a rate cut. Nonfarm…

China's recent push to spur economic growth has shown modest progress, but the broader impact remains limited. Earnings and corporate data suggest that a solid recovery in the world's second-largest economy may still be a long way off. Since September, Beijing has introduced a series of stimulus measures aimed at boosting key sectors such as real estate and manufacturing. While there have been signs of improvement, many companies have maintained a cautious outlook. This sentiment was evident during Meituan's earnings call last week, when executives noted only a slight improvement in their hotel booking business. “We are confident that these…